Possible scenario
Military escalation follows
17%
−1.9%
Riyadh concludes that repeated Houthi attacks on Aramco and the East-West pipeline require a military response. This is less likely than containment but remains plausible given the attack’s timing directly after a Saudi ceasefire offer.
What it moves
- Energy+3.2%
- Consumer Services−2.7%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
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