Possible scenario
Talks Break Down
−0.6%
The talks could fail quickly if Russia refuses to soften its security-zone demand and Ukraine rejects concessions that appear to legitimize occupation. A breakdown would reinforce the view that the war remains locked in a military rather than diplomatic phase.
What it moves
- Energy+1.3%
- Finance−0.6%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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