Possible scenario
Measure Is Diluted
30% Chance
The Senate vote produces political pressure but not binding limits on Israel military aid. House Republican leaders, pro-Israel Democrats, and the White House narrow the measure to reporting requirements and statements of concern.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.4%
Tickers
- ESLT+1.3%
- +0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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