Possible scenario
Race Tightens
30% Chance
Democrats and anti-Paxton Republicans successfully keep the fraud-fugitive story in the news cycle. The Texas Senate race moves from a Republican-leaning contest toward a more competitive race, especially in suburban Dallas, Houston, Austin, and San Antonio.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.2%
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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