Possible scenario
Contained Integration Fault
35% Chance
Cursor determines the incident came from a narrow connector or logging flaw tied to the recent SpaceX AI integration. The company ships a patch, rotates keys, and offers third-party attestations, limiting legal and commercial fallout.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.2%
- Business Services -0.1%
Tickers
- SPCX-1.8%
- MSFT-0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.