Possible scenario
Managed Treasury Churn
45% Chance
Scott Bessent absorbs staff departures by promoting loyal deputies and leaning on David Zervos for policy coordination. The White House treats the exits as part of its broader federal workforce overhaul rather than a governance crisis.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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