Possible scenario
Rahm Rejoins PGA
35% Chance
Rahm negotiates a release from the bankrupt LIV estate and begins a staged return to PGA Tour and DP World Tour events. This is the most likely path because his commercial value is highest in established majors-adjacent competition, while LIV's ability to enforce elite-player contracts is weakened by bankruptcy.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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