Possible scenario
Fast Chevron Restart
45% Chance
Chevron restores the affected Southern California refinery unit within days, keeping the outage from becoming a broader West Coast supply event. Wholesale gasoline premiums partially reverse as traders price in normalized output and only modest inventory draws.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.1%
Tickers
- PBF-0.2%
- CVX+0.1%
- VLO-0.1%
- PSX-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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