Possible scenario
Demand Weakness Broadens
20% Chance
The crude build becomes more concerning if accompanied by weaker implied demand for gasoline, diesel, or jet fuel. In that case, the market treats the report as a sign of softer end-user consumption rather than only a supply-side surprise.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.9%
Tickers
- VLO-0.9%
- COP-0.7%
- -0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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