Possible scenario
Symbolic UN Standoff
45% Chance
Russia's demand becomes another nonbinding UN confrontation rather than a policy turning point. Washington maintains that Cuba restrictions are a bilateral security and human-rights matter, while Havana and Moscow use the vote to reinforce diplomatic messaging.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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