Possible scenario
Ethics Story Contained
45% Chance
The most likely outcome is that the report becomes a Washington ethics story rather than a market-moving geopolitical event. Susie Wiles and the Trump White House distance official policy from Caroline Wiles’s $35,000-a-month lobbying contract with Republika Srpska-linked interests.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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