Possible scenario
Race Tightens Further
25% Chance
The endorsement gives Fitzpatrick a centrist talking point, but Democrats use it to nationalize the race and argue he remains a Republican vote for House control. The district moves into a true toss-up rather than clearly favoring the incumbent.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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