Error quickly contained

The most likely outcome is that the GOP super PAC treats the Oregon placement as a clerical or media-buying error and rapidly redirects remaining inventory to Maine. The $25,000 spend is small relative to the multimillion-dollar ad war around Susan Collins and Troy Jackson, so the episode becomes a brief embarrassment rather than a strategic turning point.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.