Possible scenario
Administration Restarts Work
27% Chance
The Trump administration narrows its tree-removal plan, submits additional documentation, and persuades the court or an appeals panel that work may resume. This outcome is plausible because agencies often cure procedural defects without abandoning the underlying project.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.