Possible scenario
Mismanagement findings deepen
25% Chance
The audit may produce a sharper critique than the earlier watchdog report, identifying avoidable overruns, weak vendor controls, or flawed approvals. This would still be mainly an institutional-governance issue rather than a monetary-policy shock.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
- Business Services -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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