Possible scenario
Deleveraging Continues
35% Chance
Forced selling continues after the $608 million liquidation event as leveraged long positions reduce exposure. With Treasury yields at 24-year highs and Bitcoin ETF inflows already weakening, spot demand is not strong enough to immediately absorb the selloff.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.5%
- Technology -0.3%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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