Possible scenario
Crackdown Contains Riots
45% Chance
French and Belgian police regain control of the main protest sites within days, using mass detentions, dispersal orders and rapid court processing. School blockades continue in pockets, but the movement loses momentum as parents, unions and university administrators avoid backing sustained street violence.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- US dollar Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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