Possible scenario
Demand Pushback Emerges
27% Chance
Higher air fares begin to suppress leisure travel demand, especially among price-sensitive passengers in the UK, Ireland, Spain and Central Europe. Airlines still raise prices, but load factors soften and investors reassess the durability of the fare cycle.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -1.0%
Tickers
- RYAAY-2.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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