Possible scenario
Pressure On Caracas
20% Chance
The Flores ruling could be followed by a tougher U.S. posture toward Maduro-linked officials if Washington frames the case as part of a wider accountability campaign. This would increase legal and sanctions pressure but would still fall short of a systemic market event.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.3%
Tickers
- CVX-0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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