Possible scenario
White House Resists
25% Chance
The White House may appeal and try to preserve its control over pool access by arguing that the president has broad discretion over limited-space events. Officials could also issue new letters and procedural findings to cure the due-process defect while keeping the practical ban in place.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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