Possible scenario
Mixed Appellate Ruling
18% Chance
An appellate panel could agree that the White House used inadequate procedures while declining to make a broad ruling on viewpoint discrimination. That outcome would create a narrow procedural win for the outlets but leave the administration room to redesign access rules.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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