Possible scenario
Ford Narrow Flip
46% Chance
Aaron Ford converts the late Democratic mail-ballot advantage into a narrow statewide win and flips the Nevada governorship. Clark County and Washoe County margins outweigh Joe Lombardo's rural strength, matching the current 58% win-probability signal.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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