Possible scenario
Trump Circle Fractures
20% Chance
The scandal becomes a factional problem inside Trump’s political orbit, especially because Guilfoyle’s past ties to Donald Trump Jr. make the story more politically salient. Trump’s denial may be used to isolate Guilfoyle rather than defend her.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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