Possible scenario
Outflows Extend Modestly
30% Chance
The streak break becomes a short outflow phase as investors lock in gains after a strong September inflow run. The most likely version is orderly and concentrated in ETF rebalancing, not a systemic loss of confidence in spot Bitcoin products.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
Tickers
- MSTR-3.3%
- RIOT-2.7%
- -2.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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