Possible scenario
Prosecution Survives
17% Chance
A less likely but plausible outcome is that the court finds enough surrounding conduct to let a jury decide whether the remark was part of targeted intimidation. That would keep the case in the headlines and create a test of Wisconsin's hate-crime law.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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