Deadlock And Recounts

29%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The record special-ballot pool changes several mandates but still leaves neither bloc at 61. Close races, disqualified envelopes and party challenges delay the political conclusion, extending uncertainty beyond election night.

What it moves

Finance−0.1%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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