Possible scenario
Policy Response Arrives
25% Chance
The administration and Congress respond to the political damage from rising electricity prices. The most likely measures are permitting changes, consumer credits, federal financing and pressure on state regulators rather than a direct nationwide price cap.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.5%
- Utilities -0.5%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.2%
- Technology +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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