Possible scenario
Deleveraging Continues
30% Chance
Selling pressure persists as the break below $81,000 triggers additional stop-loss orders and reduces speculative appetite. The move remains primarily a crypto-market deleveraging event rather than a broad financial shock.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.4%
- Technology -0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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