Possible scenario
Federal Intervention Advances
25% Chance
DOJ could give the State Election Board political and legal support by finding enough concern to justify federal intervention or litigation. This would heighten uncertainty because Georgia is a high-profile swing state and the request follows related fights over voter rolls and election rules.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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