Possible scenario
Courts Restrain Board
22% Chance
Georgia courts may find that the State Election Board lacks authority to invite federal action that would disrupt an already certified election system. This path is plausible because the board's recent rule changes have already faced court challenges and judicial skepticism.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.