Possible scenario
Settlement Becomes Final
42% Chance
The most likely path is that the New York Attorney General's settlement becomes administratively final and is folded into the broader post-bankruptcy recovery process. Alex Mashinsky remains permanently barred from crypto-related business activity, while the $35 million recovery is treated as another creditor restitution source.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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