Possible scenario
Limited Court Inquiry
38% Chance
The most likely path is a narrow court-managed inquiry into how the juror's position became public and whether any improper contact occurred. Judges generally move cautiously after mistrials, focusing on preserving a retrial rather than turning the leak into a broader proceeding.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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