Possible scenario
Progressive Backlash Builds
18% Chance
Environmental groups and parts of the Democratic base criticize Talarico for validating oil and gas days after using anti-capitalist language. The campaign then faces a familiar Texas Democratic dilemma: broaden appeal to energy workers or preserve enthusiasm among younger progressive voters.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.