Possible scenario
Contracts Are Reworked
25% Chance
Anthropic and its cloud partners renegotiate portions of the compute book to reduce near-term cash pressure. This outcome is realistic because Amazon, Google and Broadcom would likely prefer amended economics to a disorderly customer default.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.6%
- Utilities -0.8%
- Industrials -0.3%
- Finance -0.2%
Tickers
- AVGO-3.4%
- AMZN-1.1%
- -0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.8%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.