Possible scenario
Deal Breaks Or Shifts
8%
−0.1%
A failed deal is less likely but remains possible given the strategic importance of AI optical interconnects and the transaction’s size. The main risks are a hard regulatory block, a superior competing proposal, or customer commitments that undermine the economics.
What it moves
- Technology−0.1%
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.