Possible scenario
Localized Damage Response
25% Chance
A less benign but still contained outcome is localized damage to older or already weakened buildings, especially in rural districts affected by previous seismic stress. Emergency teams respond, but the event remains regional rather than national.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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