Possible scenario
Airport Recovery Begins
42% Chance
Flooding remains severe but pumping, drainage and flight rescheduling begin to stabilize operations at Suvarnabhumi and Don Mueang. The death toll may rise modestly, but the market narrative shifts from escalating disaster to managed disruption.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.1%
- Industrials -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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