Possible scenario
AI Demand Digests
18% Chance
A less likely but material risk is that cloud customers pause after aggressive 2025-2026 AI infrastructure buildouts. TSMC would remain highly profitable, but investors could reprice the stock if growth shifts from accelerating to merely strong.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.3%
Tickers
- TSM-3.7%
- NVDA-2.8%
- AMD-1.5%
- AVGO-1.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.7%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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