Possible scenario
Guarded Ban Easing
45% Chance
The FSC is most likely to soften the market-maker ban without fully deregulating crypto trading. South Korea’s history after TerraUSD favors investor-protection conditions, disclosures, and exchange liability rather than a broad rollback.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.3%
- Technology +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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