Possible scenario
Ban Mostly Retained
25% Chance
The review may conclude that market-making practices still create manipulation and insider-trading risks. Given South Korea’s post-TerraUSD enforcement posture, regulators could preserve the core ban while clarifying compliance standards.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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