Possible scenario
Ban Avoided
45% Chance
The White House decides that a diesel export ban would damage allies and disrupt Gulf Coast refiners more than it would lower US fuel costs. UK lobbying, industry pressure, and the availability of narrower tax relief make this the most likely path.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.6%
- Industrials +0.2%
Tickers
- PBF+2.7%
- +2.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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