Possible scenario
Hinson Narrowly Holds
46% Chance
Ashley Hinson converts her regained polling and odds lead into a close Republican hold of the open Iowa Senate seat. The outcome extends the GOP's Iowa Senate winning streak but shows Democrats remain competitive in the state.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.2%
- Energy +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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