Possible scenario
Controlled Center Pivot
38% Chance
Feely treats the deleted Trump photo as part of a disciplined general-election pivot in Arizona's 1st District. With Trump approval at 32%, his campaign emphasizes border security, inflation, and David Schweikert's local GOP legacy rather than loyalty to Trump.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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