Expanded Direct Exchange

The confrontation broadens beyond a single retaliatory strike, with the United States targeting more IRGC naval, missile, and command facilities inside Iran. This is less likely than containment but plausible because the recent sequence already includes strikes on ships, U.S. housing, and U.S. vessels.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.