Possible scenario
Repairs contain outage
25% Chance
Russian emergency crews limit the physical damage and bring some Salavat units back relatively quickly. Markets still note the vulnerability of Russian refining, but the immediate fuel-supply impact is more contained than feared.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.3%
- Industrials +0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.1%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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