Possible scenario
Diplomatic Dispute Broadens
20% Chance
The incident feeds into already tense Ireland-Israel relations following Ireland's recognition of a Palestinian state and the Gaza protests around the match. Political statements intensify, but both governments stop short of measures with material economic consequences.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.