Possible scenario
White House Narrows Ban
27% Chance
The administration modifies its handling of pool assignments to reduce legal exposure while maintaining tighter control over access. This outcome lets the White House avoid a direct clash with the court without conceding broader authority.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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