Possible scenario
Operational Escalation
15% Chance
The refinery problem broadens from a routine mechanical issue into an operational or compliance event. This remains a company- and refinery-specific matter, but it raises the risk of longer downtime and added scrutiny for Phillips 66.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
- Energy +0.1%
Tickers
- PSX-3.4%
- +1.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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