Possible scenario
Methodology Is Revised
30% Chance
The researcher’s challenge exposes ambiguity in OpenAI’s scale, especially around whether reach, automation, or persuasive effect determines a Category 5 rating. OpenAI avoids retracting the Russian-operation finding but clarifies or narrows the standard.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.2%
- Consumer Services -0.1%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- GOOG+0.2%
- META-0.1%
- MSFT-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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