Possible scenario
Death Penalty Fight
15% Chance
Because Israel approved a mandatory death penalty for some terror cases in March 2026, hardline ministers press prosecutors to use the new statute. The case becomes a legal and political test rather than a market-moving security event.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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